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Rookies aren’t simply establishing their cases for the Calder Trophy early in the 2021-22 NHL season. Many of them are assisting in the transformation of their teams’ fortunes, in the majority of instances for the better, but in other cases for the worse.
Based on established expectations, here’s a look at which rookie forwards, defensemen, and goaltenders have had their value grow or decrease following the first month of the season. In addition, club executives and coaches provide insight on what went good and poorly.
Only players in and near the NHL are included in the “stock down,” not those who have already been traded to other leagues, such as William Eklund of the San Jose Sharks (Sweden), Hendrix Lapierre of the Washington Capitals (juniors), or Jake Neighbours of the St. Louis Blues (juniors).
But first, let’s see who’s on the rise in the contest for rookie of the year.
Stock up
The entrance of Seider and Raymond was like a jolt of adrenaline to the Original Six franchise’s ailing heart. Raymond led all rookies with 14 points in 14 games, including six goals, through Wednesday’s games. With Dylan Larkin and Tyler Bertuzzi on his left side, the 19-year-old Swede formed one of the league’s best trios, with 61.6 percent anticipated goals at 5-on-5 and four power-play points. At +275, Raymond has emerged as the Calder betting favorite.
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Raymond earned his spot on the roster throughout rookie camp and the preseason, according to Shawn Horcoff, the Red Wings’ director of player development. “It was just a matter of whether or not he was physically capable. And we didn’t get a response. With his play, he was going to show us “he said “You can see the kind of player he has the potential to become.”
Seider has 11 points in 14 games and leads all rookies in ice time (22:25). With Seider on the ice, the Red Wings have the best anticipated goals against per 60 minutes of any Detroit player.
“Since we picked him, Mo has had a wonderful, consistent growth trajectory. During the offseason, he worked hard. It’s early, but he’s already contributing in every circumstance for us “Horcoff said.
What a journey for the 24-year-old Oxbow, Saskatchewan resident thus far. After four seasons with the Moose Jaw Warriors, Jeannot signed with Nashville as an undrafted free agency in 2019. He spent time in the AHL and ECHL before joining the Predators for a 15-game stint last season, during which he collected seven points. In 13 games, he has five goals and two assists, and he is currently skating alongside center Ryan Johansen.
With four points in his previous two games, the 18-year-old was the No. 12 overall choice in the 2021 draft and is really beginning to find his stride with the Blue Jackets. His attacking speed will be aided by skating alongside veteran Jakub Voracek. What about his lack of experience? “I’m not concerned about my age in the least. It doesn’t bother me that I’m presently the NHL’s youngest player “through the Blue Jackets, he said. “All I try to do is go out there and realize I’m here for a purpose.”
If Dahlen’s name seems familiar, it’s because he was traded to the Vancouver Canucks in February 2017 for Alex Burrows by the Ottawa Senators. He was acquired by the Sharks in 2019 in exchange for prospect Linus Karlsson. The 23-year-old center, who is the son of former NHLer Ulf Dahlin, discovered his skill while playing professionally in Sweden for two seasons and has excelled with the Sharks, scoring eight points in 11 games. With Logan Couture and Timo Meier, it’s been a whirlwind road from “bust” to top line talent.
Last season, he was a finalist for the Calder Trophy, which is impressive given he didn’t meet the non-rookie criteria of 25 games this season. Almost as shocking as the Carolina Hurricanes’ decision to move the 25-year-old after such a stellar first season. He was warmly received by the Red Wings, and he has a 3-2-2 record with a.914 save percentage in eight games.
Drysdale, 19, appeared in 24 games for the Ducks last season. This season, he has six points in 14 games and his ice time has increased to 21:03 per game. His underlying stats aren’t very impressive (he scored minus-2.6 goals over average), but he was thrown to the wolves by the organization as a rookie defender. After some early stumbling blocks, he’s getting better.
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“We’re putting a lot of pressure on him. Night in and night out, he’s up against some of the top players in the league. I believe that’s a little much for a man to take on. Though, and this is a big but, we want the person to compete and work through it. We’ll try our best to shield him at times, but he’ll pick up some lessons along the way “Dallas Eakins, the coach, said.
Drysdale, who was picked sixth overall in 2020, only has one major drawback, according to his coach.
“The only criticism I have of him is that he is such a harsh critic of himself. He has quite high expectations. He hasn’t approached it with the attitude of ‘hey, I’m 19 years old, I’ve got plenty of time.’ He wants to make a difference right now “According to Eakins.
“The thing we’re trying to lessen the strain on is how hard he punishes himself after a genuine mistake or a youthful blunder. Or, God forbid, the top player on the other side makes a terrific play. You must, for example, be able to park it. It’s sometimes you who could have done a better job. And isn’t it true that Connor McDavid sometimes makes a world-class play? If the latter is the case, just go on.”
Mercer, 20, has two assists in the Devils’ rout of the Panthers. He’s formed a bond with Andreas Johnsson, so his attacking production is something to keep an eye on.
Finn, who is 20 years old, has six points in nine games with the Panthers. He’s a dynamic player who we’d want to see ride with Sam Reinhart for a while, but what’s most intriguing about him this season is that he’s leading all rookies in short-handed ice time per game with 3:23.
Stock up on supplies.
Caufield was the odds-on favorite to win the Calder this season after scoring five points in ten regular-season games and another 12 points in 20 playoff games for Montreal. Caufield was reassigned to the AHL to rediscover his game following a lone assist in ten games with the Canadiens and watching his ice time decrease all the way to 11:06 in his last appearance on Oct. 31. In three games with Laval, the Wisconsin product has two assists. Unfortunately, he is most known for serving as Twitter troll fodder for the Utica Comets during his time in the AHL.
The 20-year-old Knight has given up 10 goals in two games against the Rangers and Devils on back-to-back nights, so there’s some recency bias here. In seven games, he’s 4-2-1 with an.887 save % and a minus-5.1 goals saved above average, but his debut season hasn’t yet established a steady rhythm. Sergei Bobrovsky’s comeback to Vezina form (.948 save percentage and 8.8 goals saved over average in opening the season 6-0-0) is the key concern for his candidacy. Officer Bobrovsky will have to work hard to grab starters from Knight.
It may be claimed that Knight’s presence made Bobrovsky a better goaltender; could Bob’s performance aid Knight’s resurgence? “What’s more, guess what? I’m not sure how goalkeepers think. I don’t claim to be an expert, “Andrew Brunette, Florida’s interim coach, stated as much. “They’re both fantastic players. Bob has performed well. Spencer has done the same. Things would be out of my league for me to overthink it.”
Despite not having had the same season as Lucas Raymond, Zegras is still second in the Calder betting odds (+550). Is it appropriate to criticize a 20-year-old rookie for only scoring five points in 12 games since his performance fell short of the expectations placed on him? Probably not, and a hot stretch puts the explosive forward back in the running for rookie of the year. Others, though, are now speaking louder with their performances.
Make no doubt about it: Byram has been terrific this season, scoring eight points in ten games (all at even strength) and playing an average of 21:04 minutes per game, with his ice time steadily increasing. When he’s on the ice, the Avalanche get 57.6% of their shooting attempts. Everything is fantastic!
But, now that Devon Toews is recovered, we’d be more optimistic about his Calder candidacy if coach Jared Bednar elected to retain him alongside the dynamic Cale Makar rather than pairing him with Sam Girard. Byram and Makar allowed just 1.4 anticipated goals against per 60 minutes and had a 62.4 percent expected goals against rate. He also had a suspected concussion and had to leave Thursday’s game. As a result, a modest downgrading for what had previously been a Calder favorite.
It turns out that “simply show up behind the Boston Bruins team defense” isn’t exactly an easy goaltender formula. The 22-year-old goaltender has done well thus far, finishing 3-2-0 with a.906 save percentage. Swayman’s 10-game audition last season, in which he finished 7-3-0 with a.945 save % and a 1.50 goals-against average, makes those stats difficult to reconcile. This season, he’s just over replacement level for the Bruins, but there’s still plenty of time. Depending on what happens with free agent Tuukka Rask, it could go either way.
Talk about a ride on the escalator. The Kings’ 20-year-old winger scored three goals in four games, including a game-winning power-play goal against the Devils. Los Angeles proceeded on the road and continued to win, but he was held scoreless by Toronto and Montreal, and he didn’t play more than 11:37 minutes in each game. However, there’s still time for a highly gifted scorer to have a big offensive game.
Please keep in mind that, despite being in his third season and being 26 years old, Bunting is still eligible for the Calder due of the number of games he has played and his age when the camps began. “Old Man Rookie” has three goals and three assists in 14 games with the Leafs, but he’s gone scoreless for four games and only played 14 minutes in Wednesday’s victory against the Flyers.
To overcome the inherent prejudice against his “experience” among voters, he’d have to have an exceptional offensive season, which he hasn’t done before.
Another player who asks, “Wait, that guy’s a rookie?” Because he didn’t meet the games-played standards, the third-year Wild goalkeeper is theoretically eligible for the Calder Trophy. However, with an.882 save % in three games, he’s been relegated to the role of backup to starter Cam Talbot.
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